Jon Bonck's commanding 91% trader consensus in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his dominant performance in the March 3, 2026, first-round vote, where he captured nearly half the vote in a crowded 10-candidate field to advance to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos. High-profile endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth, combined with a reported $1 million fundraising war chest, have solidified his position in this Houston-area Republican stronghold vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Absent a major scandal, late deZevallos endorsement surge, or unexpected voter turnout shift favoring her base, traders see scant path for an upset in the low-turnout runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJon Bonck 91.0%
Shelly deZevallos 1.9%
Jennifer Sundt 1.0%
Barrett McNabb 1.0%
$36,041 Vol.
$36,041 Vol.
26 mag 2026
Jon Bonck
91%
Shelly deZevallos
2%
Jennifer Sundt
1%
Barrett McNabb
1%
Carmen Montiel
1%
Craig Goralski
1%
Larry Rubin
1%
Avery Ayers
1%
Jeff Yuna
1%
Michael Pratt
<1%
Jon Bonck 91.0%
Shelly deZevallos 1.9%
Jennifer Sundt 1.0%
Barrett McNabb 1.0%
$36,041 Vol.
$36,041 Vol.
26 mag 2026
Jon Bonck
$16,910 Vol.
91%
Shelly deZevallos
$3,015 Vol.
2%
Jennifer Sundt
$2,246 Vol.
1%
Barrett McNabb
$1,588 Vol.
1%
Carmen Montiel
$1,468 Vol.
1%
Craig Goralski
$1,540 Vol.
1%
Larry Rubin
$2,055 Vol.
1%
Avery Ayers
$2,210 Vol.
1%
Jeff Yuna
$2,411 Vol.
1%
Michael Pratt
$2,597 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 91% trader consensus in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his dominant performance in the March 3, 2026, first-round vote, where he captured nearly half the vote in a crowded 10-candidate field to advance to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos. High-profile endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth, combined with a reported $1 million fundraising war chest, have solidified his position in this Houston-area Republican stronghold vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Absent a major scandal, late deZevallos endorsement surge, or unexpected voter turnout shift favoring her base, traders see scant path for an upset in the low-turnout runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$36,041Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck's commanding 91% trader consensus in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his dominant performance in the March 3, 2026, first-round vote, where he captured nearly half the vote in a crowded 10-candidate field to advance to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos. High-profile endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth, combined with a reported $1 million fundraising war chest, have solidified his position in this Houston-area Republican stronghold vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Absent a major scandal, late deZevallos endorsement surge, or unexpected voter turnout shift favoring her base, traders see scant path for an upset in the low-turnout runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,041Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck's commanding 91% trader consensus in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his dominant performance in the March 3, 2026, first-round vote, where he captured nearly half the vote in a crowded 10-candidate field to advance to the May 26 runoff against Shelly deZevallos. High-profile endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, Speaker Mike Johnson, and Club for Growth, combined with a reported $1 million fundraising war chest, have solidified his position in this Houston-area Republican stronghold vacated by Rep. Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Absent a major scandal, late deZevallos endorsement surge, or unexpected voter turnout shift favoring her base, traders see scant path for an upset in the low-turnout runoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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