US special forces entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, executing a precision raid that captured Nicolás Maduro amid airstrikes suppressing Venezuelan air defenses, framed by the Trump administration as targeted action against narco-trafficking rather than invasion. Officials including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and House Speaker Mike Johnson confirmed no ongoing ground troops or plans for deployment, with forces repositioned in the Caribbean. Since then, diplomatic ties have resumed, sanctions on Venezuela's central bank eased, and the US embassy reactivated amid interim leadership under figures like Delcy Rodríguez pursuing military reviews and political stabilization. No verified re-entries reported in the past 30 days; trader sentiment weighs transition risks, Maduro's US trial, and oil sector developments against commitments to avoid boots-on-ground escalation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,281,932 Vol.
31 gen 2026
30 giugno
10%
$1,281,932 Vol.
30 giugno
$197,169 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, executing a precision raid that captured Nicolás Maduro amid airstrikes suppressing Venezuelan air defenses, framed by the Trump administration as targeted action against narco-trafficking rather than invasion. Officials including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and House Speaker Mike Johnson confirmed no ongoing ground troops or plans for deployment, with forces repositioned in the Caribbean. Since then, diplomatic ties have resumed, sanctions on Venezuela's central bank eased, and the US embassy reactivated amid interim leadership under figures like Delcy Rodríguez pursuing military reviews and political stabilization. No verified re-entries reported in the past 30 days; trader sentiment weighs transition risks, Maduro's US trial, and oil sector developments against commitments to avoid boots-on-ground escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,281,932Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, executing a precision raid that captured Nicolás Maduro amid airstrikes suppressing Venezuelan air defenses, framed by the Trump administration as targeted action against narco-trafficking rather than invasion. Officials including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and House Speaker Mike Johnson confirmed no ongoing ground troops or plans for deployment, with forces repositioned in the Caribbean. Since then, diplomatic ties have resumed, sanctions on Venezuela's central bank eased, and the US embassy reactivated amid interim leadership under figures like Delcy Rodríguez pursuing military reviews and political stabilization. No verified re-entries reported in the past 30 days; trader sentiment weighs transition risks, Maduro's US trial, and oil sector developments against commitments to avoid boots-on-ground escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,281,932Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, executing a precision raid that captured Nicolás Maduro amid airstrikes suppressing Venezuelan air defenses, framed by the Trump administration as targeted action against narco-trafficking rather than invasion. Officials including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and House Speaker Mike Johnson confirmed no ongoing ground troops or plans for deployment, with forces repositioned in the Caribbean. Since then, diplomatic ties have resumed, sanctions on Venezuela's central bank eased, and the US embassy reactivated amid interim leadership under figures like Delcy Rodríguez pursuing military reviews and political stabilization. No verified re-entries reported in the past 30 days; trader sentiment weighs transition risks, Maduro's US trial, and oil sector developments against commitments to avoid boots-on-ground escalation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti