Incumbent Liberal Democrat Peter Taylor holds trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for the Watford mayoral election on May 7, reflecting his party's dominance since 2002 and unanimous re-selection in September 2025, bolstered by incumbency in a first-past-the-post contest. The seven-candidate field, finalized with nominations on April 9, fragments opposition support: Independent Ryan Bonar (27%), Reform UK's Mark Dixon and Green Party's Jake Mitchell (both 26.5%), UK Voice's Ketankumar Pipaliya (25.5%), Labour's Keith Morgan and Conservative Abdul Laskar (both 25%). Recent local debates over residencies, particularly Dixon's proximity to Watford, underscore scrutiny amid Reform's national gains, keeping the race competitive with voter registration deadlines looming.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWatford Mayoral Election Winner
Watford Mayoral Election Winner
Ketankumar Pipaliya 47%
Ryan Bonar 27%
Mark Dixon 27%
Jake Mitchell 27%

Ketankumar Pipaliya
26%

Ryan Bonar
27%

Mark Dixon
27%

Jake Mitchell
27%

Abdul Laskar
25%

Keith Morgan
25%

Peter Taylor
45%
Ketankumar Pipaliya 47%
Ryan Bonar 27%
Mark Dixon 27%
Jake Mitchell 27%

Ketankumar Pipaliya
26%

Ryan Bonar
27%

Mark Dixon
27%

Jake Mitchell
27%

Abdul Laskar
25%

Keith Morgan
25%

Peter Taylor
45%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Watford as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Watford Borough Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Liberal Democrat Peter Taylor holds trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for the Watford mayoral election on May 7, reflecting his party's dominance since 2002 and unanimous re-selection in September 2025, bolstered by incumbency in a first-past-the-post contest. The seven-candidate field, finalized with nominations on April 9, fragments opposition support: Independent Ryan Bonar (27%), Reform UK's Mark Dixon and Green Party's Jake Mitchell (both 26.5%), UK Voice's Ketankumar Pipaliya (25.5%), Labour's Keith Morgan and Conservative Abdul Laskar (both 25%). Recent local debates over residencies, particularly Dixon's proximity to Watford, underscore scrutiny amid Reform's national gains, keeping the race competitive with voter registration deadlines looming.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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