US and Israel have led military actions against Iran since February 28, 2026, launching hundreds of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and leadership amid the ongoing war. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect April 8 but faces strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 14, with CENTCOM reporting no vessel breaches in the first 48 hours as of April 15. Iran warned the blockade threatens the truce and could prompt halted Gulf trade. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE are reportedly considering involvement, granting US base access. Traders monitor ceasefire expiry around April 22 and Islamabad negotiations for potential airstrikes or escalation by April 30.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuali paesi condurranno un'azione militare contro l'Iran entro il 30 aprile?
Quali paesi condurranno un'azione militare contro l'Iran entro il 30 aprile?
$2,749,795 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Emirati Arabi Uniti
7%
Arabia Saudita
5%
Kuwait
3%
Qatar
3%
Turchia
2%
Regno Unito
2%
Bahrein
2%
Qualsiasi paese dell'UE
1%
Giordania
1%
Oman
1%
Germania
1%
Canada
<1%
Francia
<1%
$2,749,795 Vol.
Emirati Arabi Uniti
$1,332,461 Vol.
7%
Arabia Saudita
$509,936 Vol.
5%
Kuwait
$115,149 Vol.
3%
Qatar
$27,577 Vol.
3%
Turchia
$68,982 Vol.
2%
Regno Unito
$220,828 Vol.
2%
Bahrein
$45,115 Vol.
2%
Qualsiasi paese dell'UE
$44,927 Vol.
1%
Giordania
$19,699 Vol.
1%
Oman
$30,136 Vol.
1%
Germania
$120,121 Vol.
1%
Canada
$39,886 Vol.
<1%
Francia
$174,978 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have led military actions against Iran since February 28, 2026, launching hundreds of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and leadership amid the ongoing war. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect April 8 but faces strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 14, with CENTCOM reporting no vessel breaches in the first 48 hours as of April 15. Iran warned the blockade threatens the truce and could prompt halted Gulf trade. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE are reportedly considering involvement, granting US base access. Traders monitor ceasefire expiry around April 22 and Islamabad negotiations for potential airstrikes or escalation by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$2,749,795Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israel have led military actions against Iran since February 28, 2026, launching hundreds of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and leadership amid the ongoing war. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect April 8 but faces strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 14, with CENTCOM reporting no vessel breaches in the first 48 hours as of April 15. Iran warned the blockade threatens the truce and could prompt halted Gulf trade. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE are reportedly considering involvement, granting US base access. Traders monitor ceasefire expiry around April 22 and Islamabad negotiations for potential airstrikes or escalation by April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,749,795Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israel have led military actions against Iran since February 28, 2026, launching hundreds of airstrikes targeting nuclear sites, ballistic missiles, and leadership amid the ongoing war. A two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect April 8 but faces strain from a US naval blockade of Iranian ports enforced since April 14, with CENTCOM reporting no vessel breaches in the first 48 hours as of April 15. Iran warned the blockade threatens the truce and could prompt halted Gulf trade. Gulf states including Saudi Arabia and UAE are reportedly considering involvement, granting US base access. Traders monitor ceasefire expiry around April 22 and Islamabad negotiations for potential airstrikes or escalation by April 30.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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