Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.7% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official announcements, credible rumors, or negotiations positioning Condoleezza Rice for a formal Trump administration role ahead of the April 30 deadline. Over 15 months into the term, key cabinet and advisory slots remain filled without her involvement, despite her March White House visits advising on Iran policy via Operation Epic Fury and co-chairing Trump's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—purely consultative, not indicative of onboarding. As Hoover Institution director and Stanford professor, Rice shows no signs of leaving academia. Only a sudden high-level vacancy, public offer, or her explicit acceptance could shift odds in the final two weeks, though such late-game moves are rare in established lineups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
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30 apr 2026
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30 apr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.7% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official announcements, credible rumors, or negotiations positioning Condoleezza Rice for a formal Trump administration role ahead of the April 30 deadline. Over 15 months into the term, key cabinet and advisory slots remain filled without her involvement, despite her March White House visits advising on Iran policy via Operation Epic Fury and co-chairing Trump's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—purely consultative, not indicative of onboarding. As Hoover Institution director and Stanford professor, Rice shows no signs of leaving academia. Only a sudden high-level vacancy, public offer, or her explicit acceptance could shift odds in the final two weeks, though such late-game moves are rare in established lineups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,804Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.7% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official announcements, credible rumors, or negotiations positioning Condoleezza Rice for a formal Trump administration role ahead of the April 30 deadline. Over 15 months into the term, key cabinet and advisory slots remain filled without her involvement, despite her March White House visits advising on Iran policy via Operation Epic Fury and co-chairing Trump's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—purely consultative, not indicative of onboarding. As Hoover Institution director and Stanford professor, Rice shows no signs of leaving academia. Only a sudden high-level vacancy, public offer, or her explicit acceptance could shift odds in the final two weeks, though such late-game moves are rare in established lineups.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,804Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 96.7% implied probability, driven by the absence of any official announcements, credible rumors, or negotiations positioning Condoleezza Rice for a formal Trump administration role ahead of the April 30 deadline. Over 15 months into the term, key cabinet and advisory slots remain filled without her involvement, despite her March White House visits advising on Iran policy via Operation Epic Fury and co-chairing Trump's "Saving College Sports" roundtable—purely consultative, not indicative of onboarding. As Hoover Institution director and Stanford professor, Rice shows no signs of leaving academia. Only a sudden high-level vacancy, public offer, or her explicit acceptance could shift odds in the final two weeks, though such late-game moves are rare in established lineups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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