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icon for エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？
政治·エプスタイン

エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？

icon for エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？
政治·エプスタイン

エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？

$27,180 Vol.

2026/05/31
Polymarket

$27,180 Vol.

Polymarket

5月8日

$14,867 Vol.

1%

5月31日

$12,313 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A New York Times report on April 30, 2026, revealed a purported handwritten suicide note by Jeffrey Epstein—discovered by former cellmate Nicholas Tartaglione and hidden in a novel—which remains sealed under court order in a New York federal courthouse vault as part of Tartaglione's criminal case overseen by Judge Kenneth Karas. The outlet petitioned for its unsealing, but the Department of Justice stated unawareness of the document despite prior Epstein file disclosures. Trader consensus prices a mere 6% chance of public release by May 31 and 2% by May 8, reflecting procedural barriers, historical secrecy surrounding Epstein records, and absence of scheduled hearings or agency actions to compel disclosure in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication.

A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$27,180
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A New York Times report on April 30, 2026, revealed a purported handwritten suicide note by Jeffrey Epstein—discovered by former cellmate Nicholas Tartaglione and hidden in a novel—which remains sealed under court order in a New York federal courthouse vault as part of Tartaglione's criminal case overseen by Judge Kenneth Karas. The outlet petitioned for its unsealing, but the Department of Justice stated unawareness of the document despite prior Epstein file disclosures. Trader consensus prices a mere 6% chance of public release by May 31 and 2% by May 8, reflecting procedural barriers, historical secrecy surrounding Epstein records, and absence of scheduled hearings or agency actions to compel disclosure in the near term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication.

A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$27,180
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5月31日」で6%、次いで「5月8日」が1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？」は$27.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 30, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？」の現在のリーダーは「5月31日」でわずか6%、「5月8日」が1%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「エプスタインの自殺メモがリリースされたのは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。