Recent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月24日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
13°C 46%
12°C 27%
14°C 16%
11°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
46%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 46%
12°C 27%
14°C 16%
11°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$15 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
5%
11°C
$75 Vol.
9%
12°C
$215 Vol.
27%
13°C
$37 Vol.
46%
14°C
$47 Vol.
16%
15°C
$11 Vol.
3%
16°C
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$415終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$415終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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