Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a highest temperature near 17–18 °C for Buenos Aires on August 3, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (45.5 %) and 17 °C (27 %) outcomes. This reflects typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where the cool season keeps average daily highs below 17 °C, modulated by recent high-pressure dominance that limits warming and cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger cold-air advection that could drop readings to 15 °C or below. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily, though small model revisions overnight could still shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
18°C 41%
17°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
41%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 41%
17°C 28%
16°C 16%
19°C 10%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
16%
17°C
28%
18°C
41%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a highest temperature near 17–18 °C for Buenos Aires on August 3, aligning with the market’s leading 18 °C (45.5 %) and 17 °C (27 %) outcomes. This reflects typical winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where the cool season keeps average daily highs below 17 °C, modulated by recent high-pressure dominance that limits warming and cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger cold-air advection that could drop readings to 15 °C or below. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily, though small model revisions overnight could still shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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