Skip to main content
Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?

4月 16

4月 17

4月 18

4月 16

4月 17

4月 18

29°C 36%

28°C 34%

30°C 17%

27°C 10%

Polymarket
新規

$10,125 Vol.

29°C 36%

28°C 34%

30°C 17%

27°C 10%

Polymarket
新規

$10,125 Vol.

21°C or below

$1,176 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$2,169 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$1,883 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,375 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,828 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$423 Vol.

1%

27°C

$351 Vol.

10%

28°C

$189 Vol.

29%

29°C

$242 Vol.

36%

30°C

$193 Vol.

24%

31°C or higher

$299 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a 24–29°C temperature range for April 18 under sunny intervals with isolated showers and high humidity (70–95%), driven by a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, moist air from the Guangdong coast. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 28°C (29.0%) and 30°C (23.5%), as urban areas like the Observatory site often peak near the upper end during such conditions, though cloud cover could cap highs lower. Recent days saw April 15 max at 28°C and April 16 nearing 30°C amid hot spells, exceeding April climatological norms of ~25°C. Daily HKO updates tomorrow will refine model consensus on peak intensity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,125
終了日
2026/04/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a 24–29°C temperature range for April 18 under sunny intervals with isolated showers and high humidity (70–95%), driven by a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, moist air from the Guangdong coast. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 29°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 28°C (29.0%) and 30°C (23.5%), as urban areas like the Observatory site often peak near the upper end during such conditions, though cloud cover could cap highs lower. Recent days saw April 15 max at 28°C and April 16 nearing 30°C amid hot spells, exceeding April climatological norms of ~25°C. Daily HKO updates tomorrow will refine model consensus on peak intensity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,125
終了日
2026/04/18
マーケット開始日
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「29°C」で36%、次いで「28°C」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、36¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に36%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?」は$10.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?」の現在のフロントランナーは「29°C」で36%であり、市場がこの結果に36%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「28°C」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。