Persistent summer heat in northern China positions the 26°C-or-higher outcome at 99.8% implied probability for Jinan’s August 18 maximum. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 30–33°C, with multiple forecast models and agency guidance projecting 32–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. This aligns with typical post-monsoon conditions featuring strong solar heating and minimal frontal activity. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonably strong cold front or widespread heavy rain to suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current model consensus shows no such development and historical analogs indicate such drops are rare before late August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 99.8%
19°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
19°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent summer heat in northern China positions the 26°C-or-higher outcome at 99.8% implied probability for Jinan’s August 18 maximum. Mid-August climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 30–33°C, with multiple forecast models and agency guidance projecting 32–33°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds. This aligns with typical post-monsoon conditions featuring strong solar heating and minimal frontal activity. A realistic challenge would require an unseasonably strong cold front or widespread heavy rain to suppress temperatures below the threshold, though current model consensus shows no such development and historical analogs indicate such drops are rare before late August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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