Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Jinan point to a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the 26 °C threshold that dominates market pricing at 97.5 % implied probability. Supporting evidence includes persistent high-pressure influence, minimal precipitation expected, and continuity from late-August observations near 30 °C. A realistic downside scenario would require an unusually rapid frontal passage or model error that lowers the maximum by several degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such a shift before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 3%
24°C 1.1%
22°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts and model consensus for Jinan point to a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on September 1 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology and the absence of significant cold-air advection. This places the outcome well above the 26 °C threshold that dominates market pricing at 97.5 % implied probability. Supporting evidence includes persistent high-pressure influence, minimal precipitation expected, and continuity from late-August observations near 30 °C. A realistic downside scenario would require an unusually rapid frontal passage or model error that lowers the maximum by several degrees, though current guidance shows low probability of such a shift before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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