Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のシアトルの最低気温は？
9月2日のシアトルの最低気温は？
52〜53°F 89%
54〜55°F 89%
58～59°F 89%
60〜61°F 88%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
49°F以下
69%
50～51°F
40%
52〜53°F
89%
54〜55°F
89%
56〜57°F
56%
58～59°F
89%
60〜61°F
88%
62〜63°F
2%
64～65°F
19%
66〜67°F
19%
華氏68度以上
14%
52〜53°F 89%
54〜55°F 89%
58～59°F 89%
60〜61°F 88%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
49°F以下
$15 Vol.
69%
50～51°F
$0 Vol.
40%
52〜53°F
$0 Vol.
89%
54〜55°F
$0 Vol.
89%
56〜57°F
$0 Vol.
56%
58～59°F
$0 Vol.
89%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
88%
62〜63°F
$15 Vol.
2%
64～65°F
$5 Vol.
19%
66〜67°F
$5 Vol.
19%
華氏68度以上
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
音量
$45終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and major providers indicate an overnight low for Seattle on September 2 near 55°F, with ranges of 54–56°F most probable under a strengthening southerly flow and incoming rain system. Cloud cover and precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from falling toward the seasonal average low of about 53°F at Sea-Tac. Multiple runs show consistent marine influence and modest wind speeds that limit diurnal temperature drops. This consensus underpins the market's 56–57°F bin leading at 55.5% implied probability, while nearby bins at 44.5% reflect residual model spread and measurement uncertainty. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily, with lower-probability extremes discounted absent any unexpected high-pressure development.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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