Recent forecast model runs for Lucknow show maximum temperatures on September 19 likely ranging 32–35 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances, producing the market’s tight clustering around 30–35 °C. Lingering monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and steering winds create day-to-day uncertainty in peak heating; stronger afternoon convection or thicker cloud decks can suppress readings by 2–3 °C, while clearer periods allow brief spikes near 35 °C. Climatological September maxima average near 33 °C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 36 °C or falling below 30 °C this late in the season. IMD and global guidance diverge modestly on exact timing of any showers, leaving traders evenly distributed until the final 24-hour model updates narrow the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のラクナウの最高気温は?
32℃ 46%
30℃ 40%
31℃ 40%
34℃ 39%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28℃
4%
29℃
10%
30℃
40%
31℃
40%
32℃
37%
33℃
38%
34℃
39%
35℃
39%
36℃以上
<1%
32℃ 46%
30℃ 40%
31℃ 40%
34℃ 39%
26℃以下
<1%
27°C
3%
28℃
4%
29℃
10%
30℃
40%
31℃
40%
32℃
37%
33℃
38%
34℃
39%
35℃
39%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs for Lucknow show maximum temperatures on September 19 likely ranging 32–35 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances, producing the market’s tight clustering around 30–35 °C. Lingering monsoon moisture, variable cloud cover, and steering winds create day-to-day uncertainty in peak heating; stronger afternoon convection or thicker cloud decks can suppress readings by 2–3 °C, while clearer periods allow brief spikes near 35 °C. Climatological September maxima average near 33 °C, with historical extremes rarely exceeding 36 °C or falling below 30 °C this late in the season. IMD and global guidance diverge modestly on exact timing of any showers, leaving traders evenly distributed until the final 24-hour model updates narrow the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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