Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 36%
28°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 9%
新規
$10,889 Vol.
新規
$10,889 Vol.
2026/04/17
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
26%
29°C
36%
30°C
26%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 9%
新規
$10,889 Vol.
新規
$10,889 Vol.
2026/04/17
25°C or below
$1,184 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,593 Vol.
1%
27°C
$970 Vol.
6%
28°C
$359 Vol.
26%
29°C
$467 Vol.
36%
30°C
$273 Vol.
26%
31°C
$679 Vol.
9%
32°C
$801 Vol.
3%
33°C
$706 Vol.
1%
34°C
$709 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
音量
$10,889終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,889終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Mexico City high of 29°C (35.5% implied probability), followed by 30°C (25.5%) and 28°C (22.5%), reflecting the latest forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which projects maximum temperatures of 27-29°C for April 17 amid dry-season high pressure and clear skies promoting solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's baseline April highs average 26-27°C per historical NOAA data, but recent observations through April 16 show consistent 26-28°C peaks with low humidity and minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime insolation. Model ensembles like GFS indicate slight intensification potential from subsiding air, though urban heat island effects add uncertainty to official Ciudad Universitaria station readings. Hourly SMN updates on April 17 will refine trader positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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