Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
29℃ 100.0%
25°C以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
27℃ <1%
$44,475 Vol.
$44,475 Vol.
25°C以下
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
はい
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃以上
いいえ
29℃ 100.0%
25°C以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
27℃ <1%
$44,475 Vol.
$44,475 Vol.
25°C以下
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
はい
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34℃
いいえ
35℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17 at 100% implied probability, driven by the official observation from Benito Juárez International Airport's meteorological station, the market's designated resolution source affiliated with Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). This aligns with SMN's pre-event forecast of 28–30°C under a stable high-pressure system, clear skies, and typical mid-April warming trends, where average highs hover around 26°C but often exceed 28°C during dry spells. Realistic challenges would require a data revision from SMN or airport logs—highly unlikely post-validation—or discrepancies in measurement methodology, though historical precedents confirm such readings as final. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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