The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月18日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
7月18日のパナマシティの最高気温は？
33°C 100.0%
28°C以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Vol.
$33,157 Vol.
2026/07/18
28°C以下
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C
はい
34°C
いいえ
35℃
いいえ
36℃
いいえ
37°C
いいえ
38°C以上
いいえ
33°C 100.0%
28°C以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$33,157 Vol.
$33,157 Vol.
2026/07/18
28°C以下
$2,248 Vol.
いいえ
29°C
$614 Vol.
いいえ
30°C
$662 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$3,678 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$2,246 Vol.
いいえ
33°C
$10,877 Vol.
はい
34°C
$4,557 Vol.
いいえ
35℃
$4,210 Vol.
いいえ
36℃
$2,845 Vol.
いいえ
37°C
$666 Vol.
いいえ
38°C以上
$553 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$33,157終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$33,157終了日
2026/07/18マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The closely matched market-implied odds for 33°C and 34°C as Panama City's July 18 high reflect uncertainty in short-range forecast guidance amid the region's typical wet-season convection. Afternoon thunderstorms driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone often limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, with historical July averages near 31–32°C at Tocumen International Airport. Small variations in model consensus on precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, or light wind patterns can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while ENSO-neutral conditions provide no strong large-scale signal. Traders are monitoring the next GFS and ECMWF runs plus local Panamanian meteorological updates for clearer resolution criteria on the exact peak reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問