**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月11日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
6月11日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
90〜91°F 100.0%
81°F以下 <1%
82～83°F <1%
84〜85°F <1%
$138,305 Vol.
$138,305 Vol.
2026/06/11
81°F以下
いいえ
82～83°F
いいえ
84〜85°F
いいえ
86〜87°F
いいえ
88〜89°F
いいえ
90〜91°F
はい
92～93°F
いいえ
94～95°F
いいえ
96〜97°F
いいえ
98〜99°F
いいえ
100°F以上
いいえ
90〜91°F 100.0%
81°F以下 <1%
82～83°F <1%
84〜85°F <1%
$138,305 Vol.
$138,305 Vol.
2026/06/11
81°F以下
$14,271 Vol.
いいえ
82～83°F
$9,839 Vol.
いいえ
84〜85°F
$9,675 Vol.
いいえ
86〜87°F
$7,890 Vol.
いいえ
88〜89°F
$18,069 Vol.
いいえ
90〜91°F
$25,566 Vol.
はい
92～93°F
$21,059 Vol.
いいえ
94～95°F
$16,766 Vol.
いいえ
96〜97°F
$8,912 Vol.
いいえ
98〜99°F
$5,327 Vol.
いいえ
100°F以上
$931 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
音量
$138,305終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$138,305終了日
2026/06/11マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 9:08 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**A strong heatwave driven by high-pressure ridging and offshore flow pushed San Francisco temperatures well above seasonal norms on June 11, 2026.** Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and model consensus indicated afternoon highs near or at 90–91 °F at downtown and airport stations, consistent with observed Bay Area readings that day. This aligns with the market’s 100 % implied probability for the 90–91 °F bin, reflecting trader confidence in verified station data once the climatological report is released. Historical June averages near 70 °F underscore how anomalous the event was. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen revision in the final NWS daily summary or station-specific microclimate differences, though current observational agreement makes such outcomes improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問