Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight an upper-level ridge building over western Washington on August 3, supporting highs near the climatological peak of 79°F for that date while a weak preceding front limits stronger warming. NOAA outlooks indicate a 60-70% chance of above-normal summer temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance and marine influence keep daily maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle. Trader consensus favoring 76-79°F (68.5% combined implied probability) reflects this balance of ridge-driven warming against typical August moderation, with lower odds on 80°F+ outcomes tied to the absence of extreme heat signals in current ensemble forecasts. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月3日のシアトルの最高気温は？
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
67°F or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$23 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$15 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$26 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$82 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$62 Vol.
41%
78-79°F
$68 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$1 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$68 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$40 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$25 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight an upper-level ridge building over western Washington on August 3, supporting highs near the climatological peak of 79°F for that date while a weak preceding front limits stronger warming. NOAA outlooks indicate a 60-70% chance of above-normal summer temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance and marine influence keep daily maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle. Trader consensus favoring 76-79°F (68.5% combined implied probability) reflects this balance of ridge-driven warming against typical August moderation, with lower odds on 80°F+ outcomes tied to the absence of extreme heat signals in current ensemble forecasts. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$537終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service discussions highlight an upper-level ridge building over western Washington on August 3, supporting highs near the climatological peak of 79°F for that date while a weak preceding front limits stronger warming. NOAA outlooks indicate a 60-70% chance of above-normal summer temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance and marine influence keep daily maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle. Trader consensus favoring 76-79°F (68.5% combined implied probability) reflects this balance of ridge-driven warming against typical August moderation, with lower odds on 80°F+ outcomes tied to the absence of extreme heat signals in current ensemble forecasts. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$537終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service discussions highlight an upper-level ridge building over western Washington on August 3, supporting highs near the climatological peak of 79°F for that date while a weak preceding front limits stronger warming. NOAA outlooks indicate a 60-70% chance of above-normal summer temperatures overall, yet short-term model guidance and marine influence keep daily maxima clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s for Seattle. Trader consensus favoring 76-79°F (68.5% combined implied probability) reflects this balance of ridge-driven warming against typical August moderation, with lower odds on 80°F+ outcomes tied to the absence of extreme heat signals in current ensemble forecasts. Updated NWS briefings and model runs over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問