Recent model consensus from INMET and regional forecasts points to above-average warmth across São Paulo on August 5, with daytime maxima likely reaching 27–29°C under mostly sunny, stable conditions and low humidity. This aligns with the week’s early-August pattern of warmer-than-normal air masses over the Southeast, pushing the 28°C outcome to 57% implied probability while 27°C and 29°C trail at 19.5% and 17%. Typical August highs average near 24°C, so current readings reflect a notable positive anomaly driven by limited cloud cover and northerly flow. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at São Paulo–Guarulhos or equivalent INMET stations, with any late-day cooling or measurement variance able to shift the final bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
28°C 57%
27°C 20%
29°C 17%
26°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
57%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
27°C 20%
29°C 17%
26°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
57%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from INMET and regional forecasts points to above-average warmth across São Paulo on August 5, with daytime maxima likely reaching 27–29°C under mostly sunny, stable conditions and low humidity. This aligns with the week’s early-August pattern of warmer-than-normal air masses over the Southeast, pushing the 28°C outcome to 57% implied probability while 27°C and 29°C trail at 19.5% and 17%. Typical August highs average near 24°C, so current readings reflect a notable positive anomaly driven by limited cloud cover and northerly flow. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at São Paulo–Guarulhos or equivalent INMET stations, with any late-day cooling or measurement variance able to shift the final bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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