Persistent above-average warmth across the Northeast, driven by a broad summer ridge and limited cool-air intrusions, is anchoring trader expectations for an elevated overnight minimum in New York City on August 6. National Weather Service outlooks indicate a 40-50% likelihood of above-normal temperatures for the month, consistent with model guidance showing daytime highs near or above 85°F and reduced nocturnal cooling under humid, southerly flow. Typical late-summer minima in Central Park range 67-71°F, but current conditions suppress radiative losses, pushing the distribution toward 74-79°F outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and any short-wave troughs crossing the region remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if they introduce clearer skies or drier air.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
8月6日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
76〜77°F 43%
78〜79°F 22%
74〜75°F 15%
80〜81°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
65°F以下
1%
66～67°F
1%
68〜69°F
1%
華氏70～71度
5%
72〜73°F
5%
74〜75°F
15%
76〜77°F
43%
78〜79°F
22%
80〜81°F
6%
82-83°F
1%
84°F以上
1%
76〜77°F 43%
78〜79°F 22%
74〜75°F 15%
80〜81°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
65°F以下
$20 Vol.
1%
66～67°F
$70 Vol.
1%
68〜69°F
$31 Vol.
1%
華氏70～71度
$14 Vol.
5%
72〜73°F
$1 Vol.
5%
74〜75°F
$1 Vol.
15%
76〜77°F
$384 Vol.
43%
78〜79°F
$7 Vol.
22%
80〜81°F
$11 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$296 Vol.
1%
84°F以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent above-average warmth across the Northeast, driven by a broad summer ridge and limited cool-air intrusions, is anchoring trader expectations for an elevated overnight minimum in New York City on August 6. National Weather Service outlooks indicate a 40-50% likelihood of above-normal temperatures for the month, consistent with model guidance showing daytime highs near or above 85°F and reduced nocturnal cooling under humid, southerly flow. Typical late-summer minima in Central Park range 67-71°F, but current conditions suppress radiative losses, pushing the distribution toward 74-79°F outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and any short-wave troughs crossing the region remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if they introduce clearer skies or drier air.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$835終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent above-average warmth across the Northeast, driven by a broad summer ridge and limited cool-air intrusions, is anchoring trader expectations for an elevated overnight minimum in New York City on August 6. National Weather Service outlooks indicate a 40-50% likelihood of above-normal temperatures for the month, consistent with model guidance showing daytime highs near or above 85°F and reduced nocturnal cooling under humid, southerly flow. Typical late-summer minima in Central Park range 67-71°F, but current conditions suppress radiative losses, pushing the distribution toward 74-79°F outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and any short-wave troughs crossing the region remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if they introduce clearer skies or drier air.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$835終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETPersistent above-average warmth across the Northeast, driven by a broad summer ridge and limited cool-air intrusions, is anchoring trader expectations for an elevated overnight minimum in New York City on August 6. National Weather Service outlooks indicate a 40-50% likelihood of above-normal temperatures for the month, consistent with model guidance showing daytime highs near or above 85°F and reduced nocturnal cooling under humid, southerly flow. Typical late-summer minima in Central Park range 67-71°F, but current conditions suppress radiative losses, pushing the distribution toward 74-79°F outcomes that together exceed 80% implied probability. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and any short-wave troughs crossing the region remain the key variables that could shift probabilities if they introduce clearer skies or drier air.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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