Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as Miami’s most probable daily minimum on August 5, 2026, reflecting the climatological normal low of 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) and current National Weather Service guidance showing overnight temperatures settling near that mark under typical early-August conditions. High atmospheric moisture and persistent cloud cover from subtropical convection suppress radiational cooling, while the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and sea-breeze circulation further anchor readings in the upper 70s. Recent model runs and the prior day’s observed low near 74–75°F indicate limited overnight drops, consistent with ensemble consensus that assigns the bulk of probability mass to the 76–79°F range. Resolution hinges on the official KMIA minimum; absent a drier air-mass intrusion or clearer skies that could allow further cooling into the mid-70s, the market-implied distribution aligns closely with historical August baselines and short-term forecast stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月5日のマイアミの最低気温は？
78〜79°F 72%
76〜77°F 36%
74～75°F 1.8%
72〜73°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70～71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
1%
74～75°F
2%
76〜77°F
40%
78〜79°F
72%
80～81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
78〜79°F 72%
76〜77°F 36%
74～75°F 1.8%
72〜73°F <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
67°F以下
$391 Vol.
<1%
68〜69°F
$957 Vol.
<1%
70～71°F
$374 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$211 Vol.
1%
74～75°F
$1,088 Vol.
2%
76〜77°F
$529 Vol.
40%
78〜79°F
$1,399 Vol.
72%
80～81°F
$1,550 Vol.
<1%
82〜83°F
$1,060 Vol.
<1%
84〜85°F
$557 Vol.
<1%
86°F以上
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as Miami’s most probable daily minimum on August 5, 2026, reflecting the climatological normal low of 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) and current National Weather Service guidance showing overnight temperatures settling near that mark under typical early-August conditions. High atmospheric moisture and persistent cloud cover from subtropical convection suppress radiational cooling, while the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and sea-breeze circulation further anchor readings in the upper 70s. Recent model runs and the prior day’s observed low near 74–75°F indicate limited overnight drops, consistent with ensemble consensus that assigns the bulk of probability mass to the 76–79°F range. Resolution hinges on the official KMIA minimum; absent a drier air-mass intrusion or clearer skies that could allow further cooling into the mid-70s, the market-implied distribution aligns closely with historical August baselines and short-term forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$9,146終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as Miami’s most probable daily minimum on August 5, 2026, reflecting the climatological normal low of 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) and current National Weather Service guidance showing overnight temperatures settling near that mark under typical early-August conditions. High atmospheric moisture and persistent cloud cover from subtropical convection suppress radiational cooling, while the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and sea-breeze circulation further anchor readings in the upper 70s. Recent model runs and the prior day’s observed low near 74–75°F indicate limited overnight drops, consistent with ensemble consensus that assigns the bulk of probability mass to the 76–79°F range. Resolution hinges on the official KMIA minimum; absent a drier air-mass intrusion or clearer skies that could allow further cooling into the mid-70s, the market-implied distribution aligns closely with historical August baselines and short-term forecast stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,146終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus centers on 78–79°F as Miami’s most probable daily minimum on August 5, 2026, reflecting the climatological normal low of 78°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) and current National Weather Service guidance showing overnight temperatures settling near that mark under typical early-August conditions. High atmospheric moisture and persistent cloud cover from subtropical convection suppress radiational cooling, while the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream and sea-breeze circulation further anchor readings in the upper 70s. Recent model runs and the prior day’s observed low near 74–75°F indicate limited overnight drops, consistent with ensemble consensus that assigns the bulk of probability mass to the 76–79°F range. Resolution hinges on the official KMIA minimum; absent a drier air-mass intrusion or clearer skies that could allow further cooling into the mid-70s, the market-implied distribution aligns closely with historical August baselines and short-term forecast stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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