Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin point to a high near 98–101°F on August 6 under persistent subtropical ridging and weak southerly flow, with limited moisture and no strong frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when the city’s average daily maximum reaches 97°F, and recent early-month observations showing sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings. Trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin (52% implied probability) reflects the consensus central tendency, while the 33.5% on 100–101°F captures upside risk from any model shift toward drier air or stronger heating. Updated NWS forecasts and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月6日のオースティンの最高気温は？
98〜99°F 52%
100～101°F 34%
96～97°F 11%
102〜103°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
<1%
92～93°F
<1%
94～95°F
2%
96～97°F
11%
98〜99°F
52%
100～101°F
34%
102〜103°F
7%
104～105°F
1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
98〜99°F 52%
100～101°F 34%
96～97°F 11%
102〜103°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
89°F以下
$80 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$173 Vol.
<1%
92～93°F
$521 Vol.
<1%
94～95°F
$117 Vol.
2%
96～97°F
$489 Vol.
11%
98〜99°F
$1,135 Vol.
52%
100～101°F
$206 Vol.
34%
102〜103°F
$177 Vol.
7%
104～105°F
$239 Vol.
1%
106〜107°F
$641 Vol.
<1%
108°F以上
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin point to a high near 98–101°F on August 6 under persistent subtropical ridging and weak southerly flow, with limited moisture and no strong frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when the city’s average daily maximum reaches 97°F, and recent early-month observations showing sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings. Trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin (52% implied probability) reflects the consensus central tendency, while the 33.5% on 100–101°F captures upside risk from any model shift toward drier air or stronger heating. Updated NWS forecasts and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$3,913終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin point to a high near 98–101°F on August 6 under persistent subtropical ridging and weak southerly flow, with limited moisture and no strong frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when the city’s average daily maximum reaches 97°F, and recent early-month observations showing sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings. Trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin (52% implied probability) reflects the consensus central tendency, while the 33.5% on 100–101°F captures upside risk from any model shift toward drier air or stronger heating. Updated NWS forecasts and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,913終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin point to a high near 98–101°F on August 6 under persistent subtropical ridging and weak southerly flow, with limited moisture and no strong frontal passage expected. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, when the city’s average daily maximum reaches 97°F, and recent early-month observations showing sustained upper-90s to low-100s readings. Trader emphasis on the 98–99°F bin (52% implied probability) reflects the consensus central tendency, while the 33.5% on 100–101°F captures upside risk from any model shift toward drier air or stronger heating. Updated NWS forecasts and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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