Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98–99 °F for Austin on August 5 under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no strong frontal passage. This aligns with the dominant market-implied range while the secondary 100–101 °F bin reflects residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon mixing and dew-point recovery. August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–97 °F, so the current pattern sits slightly above average amid persistent subtropical ridging that has delivered consecutive days in the upper 90s to low 100s. Forecasters note minimal convective inhibition early in the period, keeping the probability of an isolated shower or thunderstorm low enough that it is unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のオースティンの最高気温は？
8月5日のオースティンの最高気温は？
98〜99°F 52%
100～101°F 32%
96～97°F 8%
102〜103°F 3.1%
新規
$11,134 Vol.
新規
$11,134 Vol.
2026/08/05
89°F以下
<1%
90～91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
1%
96～97°F
8%
98〜99°F
52%
100～101°F
32%
102〜103°F
3%
104～105°F
1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
98〜99°F 52%
100～101°F 32%
96～97°F 8%
102〜103°F 3.1%
新規
$11,134 Vol.
新規
$11,134 Vol.
2026/08/05
89°F以下
$684 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$721 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$637 Vol.
<1%
94〜95°F
$622 Vol.
1%
96～97°F
$1,745 Vol.
8%
98〜99°F
$3,607 Vol.
52%
100～101°F
$972 Vol.
32%
102〜103°F
$780 Vol.
3%
104～105°F
$665 Vol.
1%
106〜107°F
$415 Vol.
<1%
108°F以上
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98–99 °F for Austin on August 5 under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no strong frontal passage. This aligns with the dominant market-implied range while the secondary 100–101 °F bin reflects residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon mixing and dew-point recovery. August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–97 °F, so the current pattern sits slightly above average amid persistent subtropical ridging that has delivered consecutive days in the upper 90s to low 100s. Forecasters note minimal convective inhibition early in the period, keeping the probability of an isolated shower or thunderstorm low enough that it is unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$11,134終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98–99 °F for Austin on August 5 under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no strong frontal passage. This aligns with the dominant market-implied range while the secondary 100–101 °F bin reflects residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon mixing and dew-point recovery. August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–97 °F, so the current pattern sits slightly above average amid persistent subtropical ridging that has delivered consecutive days in the upper 90s to low 100s. Forecasters note minimal convective inhibition early in the period, keeping the probability of an isolated shower or thunderstorm low enough that it is unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,134終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98–99 °F for Austin on August 5 under partly to mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and no strong frontal passage. This aligns with the dominant market-implied range while the secondary 100–101 °F bin reflects residual uncertainty from model spread in afternoon mixing and dew-point recovery. August climatology for central Texas places normal highs near 96–97 °F, so the current pattern sits slightly above average amid persistent subtropical ridging that has delivered consecutive days in the upper 90s to low 100s. Forecasters note minimal convective inhibition early in the period, keeping the probability of an isolated shower or thunderstorm low enough that it is unlikely to cap the daily maximum. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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