Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 29?
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$228,344 Vol.
$228,344 Vol.
2026/04/29
12°C or below
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$228,344 Vol.
$228,344 Vol.
2026/04/29
12°C or below
$23,430 Vol.
No
13°C
$61,262 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$43,470 Vol.
No
15°C
$19,278 Vol.
No
16°C
$19,616 Vol.
No
17°C
$19,677 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,415 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,681 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,586 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,994 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$15,934 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
音量
$228,344終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$228,344終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:49 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a 13°C high in Shanghai today, backed by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration's Xujiahui station showing a midday peak of 13°C under persistent light rain totaling over 34 mm in 24 hours, dense cloud cover, and northeast winds from a cold air intrusion. This stark contrast to April 27's 30.1°C and the month's climatological average of 19–22°C stems from rapid synoptic shifts suppressing diurnal heating. ECMWF and GFS nowcasts reinforce ongoing overcast skies and post-sunset cooling around 18:30 local time. Final resolution hinges on Shanghai Pudong Airport data via Wunderground, but a challenging upset would require improbable late-day clearing to push temperatures higher amid stable low-level stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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