Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with seasonal summer highs. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as typical August Mediterranean patterns feature highs averaging 30–32°C without strong synoptic drivers for significant deviation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 34°C or falling to 31°C or below, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and absence of heatwave signals in the latest updates. Traders appear to weight these official projections heavily given the short time to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
8月16日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
33°C 70%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
70%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
29°C or below
$896 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$337 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,069 Vol.
20%
33°C
$1,439 Vol.
70%
34°C
$801 Vol.
11%
35°C
$399 Vol.
1%
36°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$483 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$441 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with seasonal summer highs. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as typical August Mediterranean patterns feature highs averaging 30–32°C without strong synoptic drivers for significant deviation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 34°C or falling to 31°C or below, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and absence of heatwave signals in the latest updates. Traders appear to weight these official projections heavily given the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$7,576終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with seasonal summer highs. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as typical August Mediterranean patterns feature highs averaging 30–32°C without strong synoptic drivers for significant deviation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 34°C or falling to 31°C or below, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and absence of heatwave signals in the latest updates. Traders appear to weight these official projections heavily given the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,576終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with seasonal summer highs. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as typical August Mediterranean patterns feature highs averaging 30–32°C without strong synoptic drivers for significant deviation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 34°C or falling to 31°C or below, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and absence of heatwave signals in the latest updates. Traders appear to weight these official projections heavily given the short time to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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