Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under seasonal high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Model consensus and recent observations, including a slight temperature rise noted in the latest IMS update, support 33°C as the leading outcome with strong trader alignment at 72.5% implied probability. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the absence of an active heatwave or anomalous warming on this date keep 34°C at a distant 25% while rendering higher thresholds below 1%. Updated official readings later today will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
33°C 73%
34°C 26%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
$18,826 Vol.
$18,826 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
73%
34°C
26%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 26%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
$18,826 Vol.
$18,826 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
73%
34°C
26%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office indicate a maximum of 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 15 under seasonal high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Model consensus and recent observations, including a slight temperature rise noted in the latest IMS update, support 33°C as the leading outcome with strong trader alignment at 72.5% implied probability. Historical August averages near 30–31°C and the absence of an active heatwave or anomalous warming on this date keep 34°C at a distant 25% while rendering higher thresholds below 1%. Updated official readings later today will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問