Forecast consensus from regional models and the UK Met Office places Tel Aviv’s daytime maximum near 31–32 °C on 17 August under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow. Typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions favor strong solar heating balanced by coastal sea-breeze advection that caps afternoon peaks close to the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32 °C. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which determine whether the official station reading settles at 31 °C or 32 °C. With markets implying near-even odds between these two bins, traders are weighting the latest model runs and any morning observational trends that could shift the final verified high by a single degree.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 49%
31°C 42%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
42%
32°C
49%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 49%
31°C 42%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
42%
32°C
49%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models and the UK Met Office places Tel Aviv’s daytime maximum near 31–32 °C on 17 August under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light southwesterly flow. Typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions favor strong solar heating balanced by coastal sea-breeze advection that caps afternoon peaks close to the long-term climatological average of roughly 30–32 °C. Minor differences among ensemble members hinge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which determine whether the official station reading settles at 31 °C or 32 °C. With markets implying near-even odds between these two bins, traders are weighting the latest model runs and any morning observational trends that could shift the final verified high by a single degree.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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