Forecast consensus from official sources including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean climate. Sea breezes from the adjacent Mediterranean moderate coastal readings while limiting extreme heating, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no active heatwave or subtropical ridge strengthening. Narrow model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection keep implied probabilities concentrated on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (51.5%), with only modest scope for 33°C if winds weaken. Final station measurements will resolve the market once diurnal peaks are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 52%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 5%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
38%
32°C
52%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 5%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
38%
32°C
52%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official sources including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean climate. Sea breezes from the adjacent Mediterranean moderate coastal readings while limiting extreme heating, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no active heatwave or subtropical ridge strengthening. Narrow model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection keep implied probabilities concentrated on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (51.5%), with only modest scope for 33°C if winds weaken. Final station measurements will resolve the market once diurnal peaks are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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