Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Zhengzhou highs near 31–32°C (88–90°F) for August 10 amid typical North China Plain summer conditions, with high humidity and variable monsoon influences. This underpins the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher (42.5% implied probability) and 31°C (30.5%) reflect model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures driven by daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm patterns with minimal frontal activity, though slight downward revisions in some runs introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide baseline context, while official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies will confirm the daily high against resolution thresholds. Traders weigh these data shifts ahead of the event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日の鄭州の最高気温は?
30°C 17%
29℃ 12%
28°C 11%
27°C 8%
22°C以下
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
6%
26℃
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29℃
12%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32℃以上
43%
30°C 17%
29℃ 12%
28°C 11%
27°C 8%
22°C以下
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
6%
26℃
5%
27°C
8%
28°C
11%
29℃
12%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32℃以上
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Zhengzhou highs near 31–32°C (88–90°F) for August 10 amid typical North China Plain summer conditions, with high humidity and variable monsoon influences. This underpins the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher (42.5% implied probability) and 31°C (30.5%) reflect model consensus on peak afternoon temperatures driven by daytime solar heating and limited cloud cover. Recent observations show stable warm patterns with minimal frontal activity, though slight downward revisions in some runs introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. Historical August averages of 30–31°C provide baseline context, while official monitoring from China's meteorological agencies will confirm the daily high against resolution thresholds. Traders weigh these data shifts ahead of the event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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