Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 31–32°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and a 75–93% chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on storm timing and coverage, which directly affects whether the daily maximum crosses into the low 30s Celsius or holds at 31°C. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs reach about 31–33°C but frequently moderate under monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between clearer intervals allowing brief warming and widespread convection capping peaks, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日の鄭州の最高気温は?
32°C or higher 44%
31°C 31%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
44%
32°C or higher 44%
31°C 31%
30°C 11%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
11%
31°C
31%
32°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24 near 31–32°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and a 75–93% chance of thundershowers that limit daytime heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on storm timing and coverage, which directly affects whether the daily maximum crosses into the low 30s Celsius or holds at 31°C. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August highs reach about 31–33°C but frequently moderate under monsoon moisture. Traders appear to weigh the balance between clearer intervals allowing brief warming and widespread convection capping peaks, with new observational data and updated runs expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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