Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and widespread precipitation across Henan province are suppressing daytime heating in Zhengzhou on September 24, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures near 23–25 °C according to GFS and ECMWF guidance. Overcast skies and rain reduce incoming solar radiation while high humidity (near 80–90 %) limits surface warming, consistent with the current stable synoptic pattern. Official forecasts from regional meteorological centers converge on a daily high of 23–24 °C, with only modest afternoon recovery possible if breaks in cloud cover develop. This scientific setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24 °C and 25 °C, as traders weigh the balance between observed morning readings near 22–25 °C and the risk of slightly higher peaks if rainfall diminishes earlier than modeled. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日の鄭州の最高気温は?
24℃ 40%
25℃ 25%
28℃ 17%
26°C 14%
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
40%
25℃
25%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28℃
17%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
1%
24℃ 40%
25℃ 25%
28℃ 17%
26°C 14%
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
40%
25℃
25%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28℃
17%
29℃
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and widespread precipitation across Henan province are suppressing daytime heating in Zhengzhou on September 24, 2026, keeping maximum temperatures near 23–25 °C according to GFS and ECMWF guidance. Overcast skies and rain reduce incoming solar radiation while high humidity (near 80–90 %) limits surface warming, consistent with the current stable synoptic pattern. Official forecasts from regional meteorological centers converge on a daily high of 23–24 °C, with only modest afternoon recovery possible if breaks in cloud cover develop. This scientific setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24 °C and 25 °C, as traders weigh the balance between observed morning readings near 22–25 °C and the risk of slightly higher peaks if rainfall diminishes earlier than modeled. Updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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