Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜44 52.9%
5～9 49%
10～14 48%
15～19 48%
新規
新規
2026/04/21
＜5
48%
5～9
49%
10～14
48%
15～19
48%
20～24
48%
25〜29
48%
30〜34
47%
35～39
47%
40〜44
53%
45〜49
1%
50〜54
2%
55〜59
1%
60件以上
44%
40〜44 52.9%
5～9 49%
10～14 48%
15～19 48%
新規
新規
2026/04/21
＜5
$0 Vol.
48%
5～9
$0 Vol.
49%
10～14
$0 Vol.
48%
15～19
$0 Vol.
48%
20～24
$0 Vol.
48%
25〜29
$0 Vol.
48%
30〜34
$0 Vol.
47%
35～39
$6 Vol.
47%
40〜44
$37 Vol.
53%
45〜49
$36 Vol.
1%
50〜54
$36 Vol.
2%
55〜59
$36 Vol.
1%
60件以上
$27 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$178終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$178終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問