Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Changpeng Zhao's (@cz_binance) consistent yet variable X posting frequency of 40-70 per week over recent periods, with 40-59 and 60-79 outcomes tightly matched at 46.5% each due to steady daily engagement averaging 6-10 posts, primarily replies and quotes amid book promotions for "Freedom of Money" (币安人生). Recent catalysts include clarifications on Binance relocation rumors and interactions with fan reviews of his memoir, sustaining activity without major spikes; prior weeks like April 3-10 saw similar ranges dominate at high probabilities. The race stays close absent external triggers like a Dubai book signing event or crypto market volatility prompting surges, while quieter personal schedules could favor lower bins. Resolution awaits exact post count from April 14, 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 12:00 PM ET, counting originals, replies, and quotes but excluding retweets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜59 47%
60〜79 44%
80〜99 42%
20~39 25%
20未満
21%
20~39
25%
40〜59
47%
60〜79
44%
80〜99
42%
100~119
4%
120~139
36%
140〜159
1%
160〜179
1%
180〜199
1%
200以上
<1%
40〜59 47%
60〜79 44%
80〜99 42%
20~39 25%
20未満
21%
20~39
25%
40〜59
47%
60〜79
44%
80〜99
42%
100~119
4%
120~139
36%
140〜159
1%
160〜179
1%
180〜199
1%
200以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Changpeng Zhao's (@cz_binance) consistent yet variable X posting frequency of 40-70 per week over recent periods, with 40-59 and 60-79 outcomes tightly matched at 46.5% each due to steady daily engagement averaging 6-10 posts, primarily replies and quotes amid book promotions for "Freedom of Money" (币安人生). Recent catalysts include clarifications on Binance relocation rumors and interactions with fan reviews of his memoir, sustaining activity without major spikes; prior weeks like April 3-10 saw similar ranges dominate at high probabilities. The race stays close absent external triggers like a Dubai book signing event or crypto market volatility prompting surges, while quieter personal schedules could favor lower bins. Resolution awaits exact post count from April 14, 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 12:00 PM ET, counting originals, replies, and quotes but excluding retweets.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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