Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 10–17, reflecting a slowdown to about 5 posts in early April after 10–14 the prior week (March 31–April 7), as the office shares archival statements from the martyred Leader amid Iran's leadership transition. The tight race among low-volume bins stems from the account's irregular schedule—roughly 1 post every 1–2 days without predictable triggers—leaving uncertainty over office priorities post-February 28 martyrdom. A surge could arise from regional escalations, like Resistance Front actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or formal succession announcements by the Assembly of Experts; conversely, prolonged quiet might signal reduced activity under interim arrangements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<5 41%
5~9 31%
10〜14 29%
15〜19 26%
<5
41%
5~9
31%
10〜14
29%
15〜19
26%
20~24
26%
25~29
23%
30~34
24%
35〜39
20%
40〜44
19%
45〜49
13%
50~54
14%
55〜59
16%
60以上
<1%
<5 41%
5~9 31%
10〜14 29%
15〜19 26%
<5
41%
5~9
31%
10〜14
29%
15〜19
26%
20~24
26%
25~29
23%
30~34
24%
35〜39
20%
40〜44
19%
45〜49
13%
50~54
14%
55〜59
16%
60以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during April 10–17, reflecting a slowdown to about 5 posts in early April after 10–14 the prior week (March 31–April 7), as the office shares archival statements from the martyred Leader amid Iran's leadership transition. The tight race among low-volume bins stems from the account's irregular schedule—roughly 1 post every 1–2 days without predictable triggers—leaving uncertainty over office priorities post-February 28 martyrdom. A surge could arise from regional escalations, like Resistance Front actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or formal succession announcements by the Assembly of Experts; conversely, prolonged quiet might signal reduced activity under interim arrangements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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