Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir X account's posting volume for April 7-14 reflects extreme uncertainty, with all outcome bins from under 5 to 60+ priced equally at 25.5%, underscoring the irregular cadence of archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. Recent weeks show sporadic activity—four posts March 27-April 3 (March 27, 28, April 1, 3) and three the prior week—driven by timely anti-US messaging tied to airstrikes, regional diplomacy, and war crimes allegations, but without predictable rhythm managed by his office. Escalation like major retaliatory strikes, ceasefire talks, or succession updates from new Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spike volumes, while lulls in hostilities might suppress them below historical 3-5 weekly averages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日5-9 28%
<5 27%
10-14 27%
20-24 27%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
<5
27%
5-9
28%
10-14
27%
15-19
26%
20-24
27%
25-29
26%
30-34
26%
35-39
26%
40-44
26%
45-49
26%
50-54
12%
55-59
26%
60+
25%
5-9 28%
<5 27%
10-14 27%
20-24 27%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
<5
$0 Vol.
27%
5-9
$0 Vol.
28%
10-14
$0 Vol.
27%
15-19
$0 Vol.
26%
20-24
$0 Vol.
27%
25-29
$0 Vol.
26%
30-34
$0 Vol.
26%
35-39
$20 Vol.
26%
40-44
$20 Vol.
26%
45-49
$20 Vol.
26%
50-54
$20 Vol.
12%
55-59
$20 Vol.
26%
60+
$21 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir X account's posting volume for April 7-14 reflects extreme uncertainty, with all outcome bins from under 5 to 60+ priced equally at 25.5%, underscoring the irregular cadence of archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. Recent weeks show sporadic activity—four posts March 27-April 3 (March 27, 28, April 1, 3) and three the prior week—driven by timely anti-US messaging tied to airstrikes, regional diplomacy, and war crimes allegations, but without predictable rhythm managed by his office. Escalation like major retaliatory strikes, ceasefire talks, or succession updates from new Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spike volumes, while lulls in hostilities might suppress them below historical 3-5 weekly averages.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$122終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir X account's posting volume for April 7-14 reflects extreme uncertainty, with all outcome bins from under 5 to 60+ priced equally at 25.5%, underscoring the irregular cadence of archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. Recent weeks show sporadic activity—four posts March 27-April 3 (March 27, 28, April 1, 3) and three the prior week—driven by timely anti-US messaging tied to airstrikes, regional diplomacy, and war crimes allegations, but without predictable rhythm managed by his office. Escalation like major retaliatory strikes, ceasefire talks, or succession updates from new Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spike volumes, while lulls in hostilities might suppress them below historical 3-5 weekly averages.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$122終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the @khamenei_ir X account's posting volume for April 7-14 reflects extreme uncertainty, with all outcome bins from under 5 to 60+ priced equally at 25.5%, underscoring the irregular cadence of archival statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. Recent weeks show sporadic activity—four posts March 27-April 3 (March 27, 28, April 1, 3) and three the prior week—driven by timely anti-US messaging tied to airstrikes, regional diplomacy, and war crimes allegations, but without predictable rhythm managed by his office. Escalation like major retaliatory strikes, ceasefire talks, or succession updates from new Leader Mojtaba Khamenei could spike volumes, while lulls in hostilities might suppress them below historical 3-5 weekly averages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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