President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日80-99 35%
100-119 29%
60-79 25%
120-139 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
25%
80-99
35%
100-119
29%
120-139
19%
140-159
7%
160-179
4%
180-199
3%
200+
1%
80-99 35%
100-119 29%
60-79 25%
120-139 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
<20
$712 Vol.
1%
20-39
$30 Vol.
1%
40-59
$202 Vol.
2%
60-79
$0 Vol.
25%
80-99
$16 Vol.
35%
100-119
$0 Vol.
29%
120-139
$0 Vol.
19%
140-159
$0 Vol.
7%
160-179
$0 Vol.
4%
180-199
$0 Vol.
3%
200+
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$949終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$949終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETPresident Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問