Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日5～9 49%
10〜14 32%
5未満 30%
15〜19 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/10
5未満
30%
5～9
36%
10〜14
32%
15〜19
26%
20〜24
15%
25〜29
15%
30～34
11%
35～39
8%
40～44
8%
45〜49
8%
50〜54
8%
55～59
8%
60以上
7%
5～9 49%
10〜14 32%
5未満 30%
15〜19 26%
新規
新規
2026/04/10
5未満
$0 Vol.
30%
5～9
$2 Vol.
36%
10〜14
$0 Vol.
32%
15〜19
$0 Vol.
26%
20〜24
$0 Vol.
15%
25〜29
$0 Vol.
15%
30～34
$0 Vol.
11%
35～39
$31 Vol.
8%
40～44
$31 Vol.
8%
45〜49
$31 Vol.
8%
50〜54
$31 Vol.
8%
55～59
$31 Vol.
8%
60以上
$31 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
音量
$186終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$186終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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