Trader consensus prices the @WhiteHouse X account at 160-179 posts (28.5%) for April 10-17 most likely, with 140-199 bins tightly clustered above 70% combined, reflecting recent volatility from Easter Egg Roll coverage (April 6) and Operation Epic Fury updates on Iran's military defeat and ceasefire announced April 8. These drove March 27-April 3 and March 31-April 7 totals over 200, but traders anticipate moderation post-holiday and de-escalation absent confirmed catalysts like press briefings, tariff negotiations, or summits in the resolution window. A quiet diplomatic phase could favor lower bins, while surprise foreign policy announcements or domestic policy rollouts might surge activity toward 200+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日160~179 30%
200+ 24%
140~159 20%
180〜199 19%
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
1%
100~119
4%
120〜139
13%
140~159
20%
160~179
30%
180〜199
19%
200+
24%
160~179 30%
200+ 24%
140~159 20%
180〜199 19%
20未満
<1%
20~39
<1%
40~59
<1%
60~79
<1%
80〜99
1%
100~119
4%
120〜139
13%
140~159
20%
160~179
30%
180〜199
19%
200+
24%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the @WhiteHouse X account at 160-179 posts (28.5%) for April 10-17 most likely, with 140-199 bins tightly clustered above 70% combined, reflecting recent volatility from Easter Egg Roll coverage (April 6) and Operation Epic Fury updates on Iran's military defeat and ceasefire announced April 8. These drove March 27-April 3 and March 31-April 7 totals over 200, but traders anticipate moderation post-holiday and de-escalation absent confirmed catalysts like press briefings, tariff negotiations, or summits in the resolution window. A quiet diplomatic phase could favor lower bins, while surprise foreign policy announcements or domestic policy rollouts might surge activity toward 200+.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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