Recent forecasts from GFS-based models and European sources show Amsterdam transitioning to unsettled weather on August 28, with a low-pressure system and southwest flow bringing scattered thunderstorms, higher humidity, and daytime highs near 21–25°C. This pattern favors overnight lows of 14–17°C, as persistent cloud cover and rain limit radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble guidance and regional outputs cluster the minimum in this narrow range, with 16–17°C emerging as the most frequent model consensus while 14–15°C remains plausible if showers arrive earlier or winds weaken. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with probabilities closely matched around 14–17°C reflecting modest model uncertainty in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing two days out.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
13°C 82%
16°C 45%
17°C 45%
15°C 45%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
82%
14°C
44%
15°C
45%
16°C
45%
17°C
45%
18°C
44%
19°C
42%
20°C
8%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
2%
13°C 82%
16°C 45%
17°C 45%
15°C 45%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
82%
14°C
44%
15°C
45%
16°C
45%
17°C
45%
18°C
44%
19°C
42%
20°C
8%
21°C
19%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from GFS-based models and European sources show Amsterdam transitioning to unsettled weather on August 28, with a low-pressure system and southwest flow bringing scattered thunderstorms, higher humidity, and daytime highs near 21–25°C. This pattern favors overnight lows of 14–17°C, as persistent cloud cover and rain limit radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Ensemble guidance and regional outputs cluster the minimum in this narrow range, with 16–17°C emerging as the most frequent model consensus while 14–15°C remains plausible if showers arrive earlier or winds weaken. Trader sentiment reflects this tight spread, with probabilities closely matched around 14–17°C reflecting modest model uncertainty in exact timing and boundary-layer mixing two days out.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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