Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 21, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature likely near 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a shear line and low-level jet. These conditions limit daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low aligned with the September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across sources supports this range, though small variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes, traders appear to weigh the potential for localized cooling pockets against the broader stabilizing influence of the rain event. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日の重慶の最低気温は?
16℃以下 87%
26℃以上 85%
21℃ 51%
22℃ 40%
16℃以下
87%
17°C
38%
18℃
38%
19℃
38%
20℃
38%
21℃
36%
22℃
40%
23℃
38%
24℃
38%
25℃
38%
26℃以上
85%
16℃以下 87%
26℃以上 85%
21℃ 51%
22℃ 40%
16℃以下
87%
17°C
38%
18℃
38%
19℃
38%
20℃
38%
21℃
36%
22℃
40%
23℃
38%
24℃
38%
25℃
38%
26℃以上
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 21, 2026, show a daily minimum temperature likely near 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall associated with a shear line and low-level jet. These conditions limit daytime heating and nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low aligned with the September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C. Model consensus across sources supports this range, though small variations in rainfall timing or intensity could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes, traders appear to weigh the potential for localized cooling pockets against the broader stabilizing influence of the rain event. Updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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