**Recent forecast model runs and observed cooling trends are positioning the 21°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability for Chongqing’s September 6 minimum.** Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C as the East Asian monsoon weakens and radiative cooling strengthens under clearer skies, yet current guidance indicates a possible influx of cooler northerly air or increased cloud cover that could suppress temperatures further. Multiple ensemble members now cluster below 22°C, reflecting uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture that can produce 3–5°C swings in minimum readings. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily ahead of refined China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 48 hours, which will clarify whether the current warm anomaly persists or yields to more seasonal conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の重慶の最低気温は？
9月6日の重慶の最低気温は？
21℃以下 100%
22℃ 49%
23℃ 49%
27℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
21℃以下
100%
22℃
49%
23℃
49%
24°C
26%
25℃
27%
26℃
27%
27℃
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31℃以上
49%
21℃以下 100%
22℃ 49%
23℃ 49%
27℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
22℃
$0 Vol.
49%
23℃
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25℃
$0 Vol.
27%
26℃
$0 Vol.
27%
27℃
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs and observed cooling trends are positioning the 21°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability for Chongqing’s September 6 minimum.** Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C as the East Asian monsoon weakens and radiative cooling strengthens under clearer skies, yet current guidance indicates a possible influx of cooler northerly air or increased cloud cover that could suppress temperatures further. Multiple ensemble members now cluster below 22°C, reflecting uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture that can produce 3–5°C swings in minimum readings. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily ahead of refined China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 48 hours, which will clarify whether the current warm anomaly persists or yields to more seasonal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast model runs and observed cooling trends are positioning the 21°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability for Chongqing’s September 6 minimum.** Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C as the East Asian monsoon weakens and radiative cooling strengthens under clearer skies, yet current guidance indicates a possible influx of cooler northerly air or increased cloud cover that could suppress temperatures further. Multiple ensemble members now cluster below 22°C, reflecting uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture that can produce 3–5°C swings in minimum readings. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily ahead of refined China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 48 hours, which will clarify whether the current warm anomaly persists or yields to more seasonal conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent forecast model runs and observed cooling trends are positioning the 21°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability for Chongqing’s September 6 minimum.** Early-September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 22–24°C as the East Asian monsoon weakens and radiative cooling strengthens under clearer skies, yet current guidance indicates a possible influx of cooler northerly air or increased cloud cover that could suppress temperatures further. Multiple ensemble members now cluster below 22°C, reflecting uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture that can produce 3–5°C swings in minimum readings. Traders are weighting these near-term dynamical signals heavily ahead of refined China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 48 hours, which will clarify whether the current warm anomaly persists or yields to more seasonal conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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