Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 21 point to overnight lows of 28–31°C under clear skies and light variable winds, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. The Red Sea coastal setting sustains high humidity and marine moderation that limits nocturnal cooling, while stable high-pressure patterns and absent precipitation or frontal systems have produced consistently warm minima near 29–31°C through mid-September. Recent observations show September 2026 running 1–2°C above long-term averages, with no model consensus for a sharper drop that would favor the 25°C-or-below bin at 35.5%. Traders appear to weigh these baseline conditions and forecast stability most heavily ahead of the day's resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のジェッダの最低気温は?
30°C 55%
25°C以下 53%
29°C 40%
26℃ 39%
25°C以下
53%
26℃
39%
27℃
39%
28℃
39%
29°C
40%
30°C
55%
31℃
21%
32℃
17%
33°C
16%
34℃
12%
35℃以上
29%
30°C 55%
25°C以下 53%
29°C 40%
26℃ 39%
25°C以下
53%
26℃
39%
27℃
39%
28℃
39%
29°C
40%
30°C
55%
31℃
21%
32℃
17%
33°C
16%
34℃
12%
35℃以上
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 21 point to overnight lows of 28–31°C under clear skies and light variable winds, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 55.5% implied probability. The Red Sea coastal setting sustains high humidity and marine moderation that limits nocturnal cooling, while stable high-pressure patterns and absent precipitation or frontal systems have produced consistently warm minima near 29–31°C through mid-September. Recent observations show September 2026 running 1–2°C above long-term averages, with no model consensus for a sharper drop that would favor the 25°C-or-below bin at 35.5%. Traders appear to weigh these baseline conditions and forecast stability most heavily ahead of the day's resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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