**Current forecast models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 29°C for Jeddah on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 83.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location maintains elevated overnight temperatures due to warm sea surface temperatures near 30–31°C and light northwest winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent hourly data and ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological services show temperatures bottoming out near 28–29°C after midnight, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 27–28°C but have run slightly above normal this month amid persistent heat. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger winds or increased cloud cover that could alter the minimum, have emerged in the latest model runs. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow historical range of daily minima heavily, producing tight clustering around 28–29°C while assigning minimal probability to outliers below 27°C or at 30°C and above. Resolution will depend on official station observations at the end of the meteorological day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のジェッダの最低気温は?
29℃ 98%
28°C 10%
25℃ 4.5%
26°C 4.5%
$1,615 Vol.
$1,615 Vol.
24℃以下
1%
25℃
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29℃
84%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
29℃ 98%
28°C 10%
25℃ 4.5%
26°C 4.5%
$1,615 Vol.
$1,615 Vol.
24℃以下
1%
25℃
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29℃
84%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecast models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 29°C for Jeddah on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 83.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Jeddah's Red Sea coastal location maintains elevated overnight temperatures due to warm sea surface temperatures near 30–31°C and light northwest winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent hourly data and ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological services show temperatures bottoming out near 28–29°C after midnight, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 27–28°C but have run slightly above normal this month amid persistent heat. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger winds or increased cloud cover that could alter the minimum, have emerged in the latest model runs. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow historical range of daily minima heavily, producing tight clustering around 28–29°C while assigning minimal probability to outliers below 27°C or at 30°C and above. Resolution will depend on official station observations at the end of the meteorological day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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