Official forecasts from Jinan meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–19°C for September 3, consistent with clear skies, light northeast winds, and typical early-September climatology under stable high-pressure influence. This places the daily low well above the 12°C threshold, aligning with model consensus and historical baselines rather than any recent cold-air intrusion or rapid cooling. Trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 12°C or below likely reflects outdated early guidance or localized measurement variance, though such outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected frontal passage. New hourly observations and updated agency briefings through the overnight period represent the key variables that could refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日の済南の最低気温は?
12℃以下 99.5%
17°C 1.0%
13℃ <1%
14℃ <1%
12℃以下
100%
13℃
1%
14℃
1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
12℃以下 99.5%
17°C 1.0%
13℃ <1%
14℃ <1%
12℃以下
100%
13℃
1%
14℃
1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
1%
18℃
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Jinan meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 15–19°C for September 3, consistent with clear skies, light northeast winds, and typical early-September climatology under stable high-pressure influence. This places the daily low well above the 12°C threshold, aligning with model consensus and historical baselines rather than any recent cold-air intrusion or rapid cooling. Trader positioning at 99.5% implied probability for 12°C or below likely reflects outdated early guidance or localized measurement variance, though such outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected frontal passage. New hourly observations and updated agency briefings through the overnight period represent the key variables that could refine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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