Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in London on June 4, driven by mild, unsettled conditions with cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with early-June climatology near or slightly above the long-term average low of about 11–12°C, as multiple numerical weather prediction models converge on stable overnight readings without strong high-pressure influence or clear skies. Trader consensus at 14°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range for the day’s resolution. Clearer conditions allowing greater heat loss or localized variations in official measurement sites could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely given the current setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in London on June 4?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,234 Vol.
$37,234 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$37,234 Vol.
$37,234 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 2, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a minimum temperature of 13–14°C in London on June 4, driven by mild, unsettled conditions with cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with early-June climatology near or slightly above the long-term average low of about 11–12°C, as multiple numerical weather prediction models converge on stable overnight readings without strong high-pressure influence or clear skies. Trader consensus at 14°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range for the day’s resolution. Clearer conditions allowing greater heat loss or localized variations in official measurement sites could shift the outcome, though such changes appear unlikely given the current setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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