**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 4 likely in the 12–17°C range, with the Met Office projecting 12°C overnight amid a frontal passage and southwesterly flow.** Trader consensus heavily favors 16–18°C, reflecting model spread in guidance on cloud cover, wind strength, and the urban heat island effect that often elevates central London readings above rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show variable cloud and showers that could limit radiative cooling, while historical early-September climatology supports minima near 14–16°C. Key upcoming data include the next Met Office and ECMWF model cycles, which will refine the overnight low before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月4日のロンドンの最低気温は？
17°C 45%
18℃ 34%
16°C 22%
19℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
12°C以下
1%
13℃
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
22%
17°C
45%
18℃
34%
19℃
4%
20℃
1%
21℃
1%
22℃以上
1%
17°C 45%
18℃ 34%
16°C 22%
19℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
12°C以下
$20 Vol.
1%
13℃
$43 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$43 Vol.
3%
16°C
$256 Vol.
22%
17°C
$378 Vol.
45%
18℃
$674 Vol.
34%
19℃
$201 Vol.
4%
20℃
$186 Vol.
1%
21℃
$126 Vol.
1%
22℃以上
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 4 likely in the 12–17°C range, with the Met Office projecting 12°C overnight amid a frontal passage and southwesterly flow.** Trader consensus heavily favors 16–18°C, reflecting model spread in guidance on cloud cover, wind strength, and the urban heat island effect that often elevates central London readings above rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show variable cloud and showers that could limit radiative cooling, while historical early-September climatology supports minima near 14–16°C. Key upcoming data include the next Met Office and ECMWF model cycles, which will refine the overnight low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$1,978終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 4 likely in the 12–17°C range, with the Met Office projecting 12°C overnight amid a frontal passage and southwesterly flow.** Trader consensus heavily favors 16–18°C, reflecting model spread in guidance on cloud cover, wind strength, and the urban heat island effect that often elevates central London readings above rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show variable cloud and showers that could limit radiative cooling, while historical early-September climatology supports minima near 14–16°C. Key upcoming data include the next Met Office and ECMWF model cycles, which will refine the overnight low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,978終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 4 likely in the 12–17°C range, with the Met Office projecting 12°C overnight amid a frontal passage and southwesterly flow.** Trader consensus heavily favors 16–18°C, reflecting model spread in guidance on cloud cover, wind strength, and the urban heat island effect that often elevates central London readings above rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show variable cloud and showers that could limit radiative cooling, while historical early-September climatology supports minima near 14–16°C. Key upcoming data include the next Met Office and ECMWF model cycles, which will refine the overnight low before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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