Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C for Lucknow on September 22 amid the southwest monsoon's retreat from western regions, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds expected to limit nocturnal cooling. Recent rainfall on September 19 reduced humidity temporarily but left elevated moisture levels that could either trap heat or allow greater radiative cooling depending on cloud cover persistence. This transitional period creates genuine uncertainty between models projecting stronger daytime heating with minima near 27–28°C versus scenarios of enhanced overnight drops if clearer conditions develop. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with market-implied odds split between sub-23°C outcomes and highs above 32°C driven by variables like steering patterns and local urban heat effects rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のラクナウの最低気温は?
22℃以下 100%
32℃以上 98%
27°C 48%
26°C 40%
22℃以下
100%
23°C
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
48%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31℃
39%
32℃以上
98%
22℃以下 100%
32℃以上 98%
27°C 48%
26°C 40%
22℃以下
100%
23°C
39%
24℃
39%
25℃
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
48%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31℃
39%
32℃以上
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a minimum temperature near 28°C for Lucknow on September 22 amid the southwest monsoon's retreat from western regions, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds expected to limit nocturnal cooling. Recent rainfall on September 19 reduced humidity temporarily but left elevated moisture levels that could either trap heat or allow greater radiative cooling depending on cloud cover persistence. This transitional period creates genuine uncertainty between models projecting stronger daytime heating with minima near 27–28°C versus scenarios of enhanced overnight drops if clearer conditions develop. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with market-implied odds split between sub-23°C outcomes and highs above 32°C driven by variables like steering patterns and local urban heat effects rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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