Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のマニラの最低気温は？
8月30日のマニラの最低気温は？
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
21°C or below
36%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
45%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 50%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
21°C or below
$130 Vol.
36%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
45%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$130終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$130終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from ongoing thunderstorms are capping nighttime radiative cooling in Manila, keeping the diurnal temperature range narrow amid high humidity near 85-95%. Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a minimum near 25-26°C on August 30, consistent with August climatology where average lows hover around 26°C. Minor model differences in rain timing and wind speeds (15-25 km/h from the southwest) explain the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24-27°C, as brief clearer intervals could allow slightly lower readings while sustained convection supports milder values. Upcoming overnight observations and final model runs will refine these near-term thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問