Miami's overnight low on August 4 is expected to settle near the climatological average of 78–79°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, warm Gulf Stream sea-surface temperatures around 85°F, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show modest spread across 74–81°F ranges because of typical early-August variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture rather than any strong frontal influence. Historical data indicate August lows rarely drop below 74°F or exceed 82°F in the absence of unusual cold-air advection, keeping trader focus on these tightly bunched central outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のマイアミの最低気温は？
8月4日のマイアミの最低気温は？
78-79°F 37%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 37%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
69°F or below
$27 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$22 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$29 Vol.
15%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
15%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$8 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$20 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$61 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$22 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's overnight low on August 4 is expected to settle near the climatological average of 78–79°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, warm Gulf Stream sea-surface temperatures around 85°F, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show modest spread across 74–81°F ranges because of typical early-August variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture rather than any strong frontal influence. Historical data indicate August lows rarely drop below 74°F or exceed 82°F in the absence of unusual cold-air advection, keeping trader focus on these tightly bunched central outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
音量
$210終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Miami's overnight low on August 4 is expected to settle near the climatological average of 78–79°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, warm Gulf Stream sea-surface temperatures around 85°F, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show modest spread across 74–81°F ranges because of typical early-August variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture rather than any strong frontal influence. Historical data indicate August lows rarely drop below 74°F or exceed 82°F in the absence of unusual cold-air advection, keeping trader focus on these tightly bunched central outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$210終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETMiami's overnight low on August 4 is expected to settle near the climatological average of 78–79°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, warm Gulf Stream sea-surface temperatures around 85°F, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show modest spread across 74–81°F ranges because of typical early-August variability in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture rather than any strong frontal influence. Historical data indicate August lows rarely drop below 74°F or exceed 82°F in the absence of unusual cold-air advection, keeping trader focus on these tightly bunched central outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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