Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show a spread in Munich's minimum temperature for September 6, with most runs pointing to lows near 11–14°C amid light northeasterly flow and partial clear skies favoring radiative cooling. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market odds, as traders weigh the potential for stronger cold advection or clearer conditions pushing readings toward single digits against milder southerly influences. Historical September minima average around 11°C with occasional dips below 5°C, underscoring the role of short-term steering patterns and boundary layer moisture in model divergence. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のミュンヘンの最低気温は?
5°C以下 69%
15℃以上 59%
11℃ 49%
12°C 49%
5°C以下
69%
6℃
26%
7°C
26%
8℃
29%
9°C
25%
10℃
25%
11℃
49%
12°C
49%
13℃
2%
14℃
42%
15℃以上
59%
5°C以下 69%
15℃以上 59%
11℃ 49%
12°C 49%
5°C以下
69%
6℃
26%
7°C
26%
8℃
29%
9°C
25%
10℃
25%
11℃
49%
12°C
49%
13℃
2%
14℃
42%
15℃以上
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show a spread in Munich's minimum temperature for September 6, with most runs pointing to lows near 11–14°C amid light northeasterly flow and partial clear skies favoring radiative cooling. This uncertainty drives the closely matched market odds, as traders weigh the potential for stronger cold advection or clearer conditions pushing readings toward single digits against milder southerly influences. Historical September minima average around 11°C with occasional dips below 5°C, underscoring the role of short-term steering patterns and boundary layer moisture in model divergence. Updated high-resolution runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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