Recent model consensus from European weather services points to overnight lows near 17°C in Paris as a cold front and associated rain from the northwest disrupt lingering warmth, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and dew points near 14-16°C further constrain temperature drops, aligning trader emphasis on the 17°C and 18°C bins. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a milder transition from the prior heatwave, with limited model spread supporting the market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のパリの最低気温は？
9月8日のパリの最低気温は？
17°C 43%
18℃ 22%
15℃ 10%
16℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15℃
18%
16℃
18%
17°C
43%
18℃
18%
19°C
16%
20℃
<1%
21℃以上
<1%
17°C 43%
18℃ 22%
15℃ 10%
16℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
11℃以下
$36 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$45 Vol.
1%
13°C
$75 Vol.
3%
14°C
$25 Vol.
2%
15℃
$204 Vol.
18%
16℃
$487 Vol.
18%
17°C
$1,159 Vol.
43%
18℃
$478 Vol.
18%
19°C
$176 Vol.
16%
20℃
$59 Vol.
<1%
21℃以上
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European weather services points to overnight lows near 17°C in Paris as a cold front and associated rain from the northwest disrupt lingering warmth, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and dew points near 14-16°C further constrain temperature drops, aligning trader emphasis on the 17°C and 18°C bins. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a milder transition from the prior heatwave, with limited model spread supporting the market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$2,781終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European weather services points to overnight lows near 17°C in Paris as a cold front and associated rain from the northwest disrupt lingering warmth, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and dew points near 14-16°C further constrain temperature drops, aligning trader emphasis on the 17°C and 18°C bins. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a milder transition from the prior heatwave, with limited model spread supporting the market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,781終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from European weather services points to overnight lows near 17°C in Paris as a cold front and associated rain from the northwest disrupt lingering warmth, limiting clear-sky radiative cooling. Persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h, and dew points near 14-16°C further constrain temperature drops, aligning trader emphasis on the 17°C and 18°C bins. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet current conditions reflect a milder transition from the prior heatwave, with limited model spread supporting the market-implied distribution ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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